Thursday, April 17, 2008

Trading

Short IBanks
Short Commercial Real Estate REITS
BUY Emerging Markets ETFs which shorts emerging market companies
Short Regional Banks, ie Regions in st. louis
Short Online AD Companies
Short Clothing
Buy CCU
Short CDS contracts of retail companies
Buy Swiss Franc, its a real asset

2 Comments:

Blogger Joshua said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

3:45 PM  
Blogger Joshua said...

Pretty bearish on the markets, are we?

A few comments:

Short IBanks
>>Don't agree or disagree, think it speaks to general opinions about the market and where we stand in this credit cycle.

Short Commercial Real Estate REITS
>> A lot of people are actually starting to get excited by these, especially as the market may or may not have overestimated the exposure to subprime in many of these portfolios. Take a look at NCT, one of Fortresses' 'Castles.' A lot of people also beginning to get interested in the higher tranches of ABX, which is also contrary to this view. Not saying I disagree with this one, just interested in your logic.


BUY Emerging Markets ETFs which shorts emerging market companies
>Agree

Short Regional Banks, ie Regions in st. louis
>A lot of people are starting to get interested in these as well, especially given their reduced leverage and exposure to synthetic securities relative to the bulges.

Short Online AD Companies
>Don't know a lot about it.

Short Clothing
>Interested to hear your opinions on this one - are you talking about manufacturing or retail?

Buy CCU

Short CDS contracts of retail companies
>Are you talking about selling or buying protection here? Meaning you are betting that the underlying will default or will improve creditworthiness? Why play the synthetic here?


Buy Swiss Franc, its a real asset

4:01 PM  

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